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Prometheus 6

All respect and no restraint

Don't worry about deflation

Count  on it. Plan on it. One third of the economy is consumer spending...I have no idea how much of it is on credit. I just know it's a lot, and that 's going to be drastically reduced going forward, forever.

I am doing exactly what economists do not want to see happen...with my new, good paying job, I am minimizing all spending, cutting back to replacing worn out stuff, until all my personal debt is paid off. 

Something New to Worry About: Deflation
By The Editorial Board

Hundreds of thousands of people are being laid off. The nation’s leading banks and carmakers need bailouts. The stock market has had an ugly 2008.

Well, here’s something else to worry about: deflation. This week, the government announced that prices fell in November for the second month in a row.

It might seem hard to understand what the problem is with falling prices. If all they mean is that we can buy our Christmas presents for less this month than we could have a month ago, maybe we can get the decked out Mac after all. What’s there to worry about?

A lot. If prices persist in their decline, they could be devastating to the economy — not primarily because of their impact on consumers’ spending habits but because of their impact on consumers’ ability to service their debts.

 

Here's what I'm worried

Here's what I'm worried about:

The net result of “quantitative easing” — a fancy term for printing worthless money or worthless debits and credits in computers — is Weimar Republic 2.0. I think we will see an inflationary depression.

Do you think that's likely?

Inflationary depession: when

Inflationary depession: when economic activity stops or lags because prices are too high, as opposed to because production stops.

I think that's kind of illusory. I think that's a transitory state that nothing stays in long enough that you should consider it an actual state of being. If it happened it would immediately flip to the no-production type of depression.

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